Export recovery continue to hard, Asian manufacturing face Large difficulties
Tangshan Shi exposition will be held soon, The Guangdong steel prices could continue to rise? or NO?
Due to the tang shan area at the end of April to held the world horticultural exposition, and according to my web tracking is the tangshan local steel mills will have 30-50% of production, production situation, so the steel mills cut production of large area, for the guangdong area, whether through the hype, and continue after start rally.
Steel City ushered in the most insane rise in five years
Friday evening of snails, strong iron ore are closed limit, SCREW 2072 1605 contract closed up 4.91 percent, iron ore 1605 contract closed 407, up 4.9%, which greatly boosted the market two days weaker confidence, spot market prices continue to see hope.
Sure enough in the futures market rebar, iron ore daily limit Friday stimulation, steel chose wayward soaring again Saturday morning Tangshan billet prices 14~25 USD/ ton, billet offer has risen to 300USD/ ton. Billet rose by stimulation of steel mills, traders will have to follow up, or count less 4.6 to 11.2 USD is normal, more than 15 usd are also many gains, the second price adjustment is quite common, some steel mills, traders price then reported casually entertained then do not sell, and so the opening Monday, as the case may be.
China steel association: special steel industry will be tested in low efficiency or even losses for a long time
By 2015, the steel industry operating characteristics of approximately minus the rate of reduction, Lee lose money tight, the inflection point appeared to accelerate differentiation. In 2016, the steel industry as a whole overcapacity situation is extremely severe, increasing pressure on environmental protection, steel industry will also benefit long-running low, steel companies must adhere to the transformation and upgrading, hard skills, and establish long-term mentally prepared for tough times ahead.
2015 excellent steel market data sampling statistics
Steel production and sales statistics sampling
Special Steel Group warning sampling units totaling eight. From the data, 2015 excellent steel market has the following two characteristics: First, significantly reduced yields. Warning steel group eight major steel companies in 2015 overall production was 12.027 million tons, down 17.2% compared with 2014, decreased significantly. Second annual price weakness down key species.
Gifted steel production and sales statistics sampling
Quality Steel Group warning sampling units totaling 22.
Quality carbon steel: group member unit 2015 annual sales were 4.81 million tons and 4.61 million tons, 6.54% and 9.37% decrease, respectively, than in 2014; average prices in 2014 reduced 848 yuan / ton.
Cr alloy structural steel: group member unit 2015 annual sales were at 2.4 million tonnes and 225 million tonnes, down 7.72% and 9.19% respectively, compared with 2014; average prices in 2014 reduced 917 yuan / ton.
Gear steel: group member unit 2015 annual sales were 86 million tons and 780,000 tons, reducing by 11.6% and 13.2% respectively, compared with 2014; average prices in 2014 reduced 861 yuan / ton.
CrMo steel: group member unit 2015 annual sales were 1.44 million tons and 130 million tons, down 7.47% and 6.21% respectively, compared with 2014; average prices in 2014 reduced 904 yuan / ton.
Steel exports sampling statistics
According to data reported by 12, the case of steel export data from early warning group summary analysis of 2015 exports 2.089 million tons, down 11.5%; export average price of $ 650 / ton, down 21.3%.
Bar: Look from the quantitative analysis, the 2015 bar exports 1.859 million tons, down 9.2%. Among them, the export volume of non-alloy rods 243,000 tons, accounting for 13.0% bar exports, an increase of 10.8%; alloy structural steel exports 1.28 million tons, accounting for 68.8% of the rod exports, down 16.0%; spring steel exports 219,000 tons, up 22.5%; bearing steel exports 81,000 tons, down 1.8%. From the price analysis, the 2015 average price of $ 594 bar exports / ton, down 17.6%. Among them, the average price of $ 466 non-alloy bar / ton, down 25.4%; alloy structural steel average price of $ 551 / ton, down 18.2%; the average price of $ 659 spring steel / tons, down 18.2%; average bearing steel price $ 836 / ton, down 9.2%.
Wire: seen from the quantitative analysis, wire rod exports 99,000 tons in 2015, down 38.0%. Among them, the export of 52,000 tons of stainless steel wire rod, wire rod exports accounted for 52.5%, down 53.2%; alloy wire rod exports 47,000 tons, down 3.4%. Viewed from price analysis, the average export price in 2015 of wire $ 1,312 / ton, down 24.7%. Among them, the average price of stainless steel wire $ 1,921 / ton, down 13.1%; alloy wire rod average price $ 622 / ton, down 5.5%.
Pipe: seen from the analysis of the amount of 2015 steel exports 132,000 tons, down 13.9%. Among them, non-alloy steel pipe exports 98,000 tons, an slight increase of 2.0%; exports 34,000 tons alloy tube, down 40.4%. Viewed from the price analysis in 2015 steel export price $ 939 / ton, down 26.0%. Among them, the average price of $ 933 non-alloy steel pipe / ton, down 25.6%; the average price of $ 956 alloy tube / ton, down 25.0%.
Implementation of polysilicon project with large diameter pipe stable batch manufacturing of baosteel special steel
2016 China Special steel composite index
This is 2015 to 2016 china steel market price reference
D2 , H13 steel-China mould steel price trend-2016
2015 china steel price have large down. 2016 china steel market , What’s the change?
Let us see the typical mould steel price list, as below:
FOB/USD/TON |
||||||
D2 | 2016/1/2 | 2016/1/15 | 2016/1/30 | 2016/2/2 | 2016/2/15 | 2016/2/26 |
2185-1810 | 2185-1810 | 2185-1810 | 2185-1810 | 2185-1810 | 2185-1810 | |
H13(EAF) | 2876-2240 | 2876-2245 | 2876-2245 | 2876-2245 | 2876-2245 | 2876-2245 |
Remark: these price base on BAO STEEL, FUSHUN SPECIAL STEEL, CHANGCHENG SPECIAL STEEL AND OTHERS 9 steel factories open price.
Some information from the Internet, and strive to secure timely, accurate, aims to deliver more information, does not represent our views to its approval or responsibility for their authenticity.
Because of the special steel parts are in short supply Toyota Japan vehicle factory production 6 days
In March the China steel price rise space or further enlarges
Than-expected recovery in demand
This year, steel prices in the low inventory, low yield, and seasonal demand factors superimposed under warmer opened the rally prologue. Recently, the real estate market stimulus overweight, improving demand end may exceed expectations. Currently, the supply and demand pattern steel market is gradually improving, rising steel prices, or further increase the space.
This year, steel prices in the low inventory, low yield, and seasonal demand factors superimposed under warmer opened the rally prologue. Recently, the real estate market stimulus overweight, improving demand end may exceed expectations. Currently, the supply and demand pattern steel market is gradually improving, rising steel prices, or further increase the space.
BF continued low operating rates
With the rise in spot steel prices, steel production profitability turnaround. According to our estimates, the profit per ton of production by the end of November last year, a loss of 300 yuan / ton loss into the current 80 yuan / ton, per ton of steel can be said that the loss is greatly reduced. But the blast furnace steel mills start rate has remained low. As of this week, steel blast furnace operating rate remained at 73.9% before the Spring Festival, at historic lows in recent years.
According to CISA data, in January 2016 member companies of steel production was 47.2 million tons, up in January 2015 of 51.67 million tons fell nearly 8 percent. The rapid decline in production making the supply pressure of the market rate minus, North China billet prices have been steady rise in steel prices bring good.
Ore supply growth drops
With the sharp decline in mineral prices, some high-cost ore gradually withdraw from the market, this part of the mine include the high cost of domestic and non-mainstream ore mines. According to statistics, in 2014, China imported 930 million tons of ore, which mainstream mine 7.3 million tonnes of non-mainstream mine 2.1 million tons. By 2015, China imported 950 million tons of ore, which is 800 million tons of mine mainstream, non-mainstream mine is 1.5 million tons, imports of non-mainstream mine fell 5,400 tons.
At the same time, China’s domestic ore also due to higher costs and the emergence of the decline in production. 2015 production was 693.27 million tons of pig iron, pig iron production in 2014 was 706.04 million tons, reducing the consumption of ore thus lead to around 20 million tons. Ore imports in 2015 compared with 2014, an increase of 20 million tons, which means that in 2015 the domestic mine production dropped by about 40 million tons. If ore prices remained low in 2016 non-mainstream amount of domestic mines and minerals bound to fall further.
The three major ore mines at a low price with the worsening business conditions also have to reduce supply growth. 2015, Rio Tinto output growth of 11%, while in 2016 the growth rate will be cut by about 7% to 350 million tons; BHP Billiton slipped 13% in 2015 in Australia, output growth was 6%; the same period, freshwater Valley also planned output of 376 million tons in 2016 down to about 3.5 million tons. Reduced steel making raw material supply growth fell smaller space, the bottom price is higher than market expectations, formed on the steel support.
Low stock steel prices rise rapidly
Recently, the state has adopted a series of policies to stimulate the real estate market a positive. January 2016, 35 cities new commercial housing monthly new supply of 16.57 million square meters, a decrease of 29.0%, an increase of 12.6%. One, two, three lines total 35 cities new commercial housing stock was 32.64 million, 183 million and 42.88 million square meters, the chain increased respectively -3.9% – 0.8% and 0.9%, respectively, an increase of -12.9% -3.9 and -0.8%. At present, China’s real estate market becomes evident, the rapid decline in inventories. If the latter occurs sales continued to improve, it will attract long-term funds into the housing market, it will help enhance the new housing construction area.
Since the end of more than 50% of the demand for steel used for construction, steel is more than 85% for the construction industry. Therefore, once the real estate market recovery expected in the ultra-stimulation, steel prices is bound to the formation of good. Especially this year, the steel industry stocks at a relatively low since April Tangshan area also held TangShan Park will on the part of the limited production capacity, these factors make the situation of excess steel market improved. For now, the current round of rebound in steel prices still continue.